All rights reserved. John Fetterman has been locked in a bitter contest against Mehmet Oz, the Republican celebrity doctor. Hawaii has two seats in the U.S. House of Representatives and one of its two Democratic senators, Brian Schatz, is up for re-election. Voters in these counties overall continued to support the Democratic candidate for governor, Beto ORourke. The attention is focused on races for the governors office and a House seat. North Carolina's 2nd District. , Greg Landsman, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Ohios First Congressional District. See the rest of our predictions. Senator from Virginia Tim Kaine. Roughly 1 in 5 of those polled were still unsure who they planned to support. The first polls are closing in Indiana and Kentucky. John Fetterman. He holds a large lead in public polling. Following the frontrunners is Aloha Freedom Coalition leader Gary Cordery at 7% with Lynn Mariano and Paul Morgan both at 3%. IE 11 is not supported. Nov. 14, 2022, Three Republican House candidates who have supported QAnon underperformed compared with Trump, despite most House Republicans outperforming the former president. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. The outcomes of the races in these three states will decide the balance of power in the Senate. Steve Sisolak, a Democrat, and Joe Lombardo, the Las Vegas-area sheriff who was endorsed by Donald Trump. Alicia Parlapiano You deserve to hear our thinking. Rep. Ted Budd of North Carolina, a Trump-backed conservative, beat Cheri Beasley, a Democrat, to capture retiring Senator Richard Burr's seat. Its giving Yesli Vega, the Republican candidate, an edge over incumbent Abigail Spanberger, though this could be temporary. August 10, 2024. RealClearPolitics - Election 2022 - Hawaii Governor - Aiona vs. Green Copyright 2022 Hawaii News Now. Lt. Gov. SEARCH. Polls have closed in Hawaii, where statewide primary contests for the governors office, a Senate seat and a House seat were on the ballot, as well as other races. The Associated Press has not called New Yorks race for governor but Gov. , David Valadao, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Californias 22nd Congressional District. Senator Brian Schatz is seeking a third term in Hawaii. Lazaro Gamio Alicia Parlapiano NYT Graphics , Katie Hobbs, an election official who stood up to allies of Donald Trump, beat his Republican pick for Arizonas governor, Kari Lake. Mr. Schatz, as the states lieutenant governor, was a rising political star in Hawaii when he was appointed to the Senate. It could be awhile before all votes are counted. Hes outperforming Biden across the state and is currently up 8 points in counties that were the closest in 2020. RealClearPolitics - Election 2022 - Hawaii Governor - Democratic Primary Around the world, the choice to hold elections on Tuesdays may be more of an outlier. Polls are now closed in Hawaii. The Associated Press has not yet called the race. There is also an unexpectedly competitive Senate race in Utah between Senator Mike Lee, a Republican, and Evan McMullin, an independent. In the January Hawaii Poll, 58% of Democratic voters said they would pick Green if the primary were held at that time. Vote Counted. I dont know what hes talking about. Josh Green has always had high favorables, and they continue to be high even though hes been taking heat from his competitors over the last couple of months, said Colin Moore, director of the University of Hawaiis Public Policy Center. Most polls have closed in Alaska, but Alaska doesnt release results until after its last polls close at 1 a.m. Eastern. Alicia Parlapiano [6] The deadline to register to vote is 30 days before an election. , David Schweikert, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Arizonas First Congressional District. Josh Green Is Racking Up Union Endorsements, Adding To His Momentum", "Editorial: For governor's race, it's Josh Green and Duke Aiona", "Congressman Kaialii Kahele makes official announcement of run for Hawaii Governor", "August 13, 2022 Primary Election - Statewide Summary", "Hawaii Rep. Sylvia Luke Plans To Run For Lieutenant Governor", "State Rep. Sylvia Luke announces run for lieutenant governor", "Keith Amemiya joins race for lieutenant governor", "Ikaika Anderson Launches Campaign for Hawaii Lt. Nov. 8, 2022, Kentucky, a solidly red state, reelected Rand Paul to the Senate. , Elissa Slotkin, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Michigans Seventh Congressional District. He represented his Hawaii island district in the state Senate before being elected lieutenant governor for Iges second term. and Pa., competitive state races with consequences for abortion remain too close to call. You're reading a premium story. Nate Cohn Tuesday, January 3, 2023. Were tracking the remaining uncalled House races, and the most recently called races, as states continue to count the remaining votes. According to the poll, Green also has strong support across Hawaiis largest ethnic groups, including those who identify as Caucasians, Japanese and Filipinos. The previous gubernatorial elections for this group of states took place in 2022, except in New Hampshire and Vermont, where governors serve two-year terms and will elect their governors in 2024 . Greens support was most pronounced among Hawaii voters 50 and up some 54% of whom said they supported him. Nov. 8, 2022, The shift to the right has been dramatic among counties in Florida reporting nearly all their votes. Wisconsins Senate race is leaning toward Senator Ron Johnson, his chambers most endangered Republican incumbent, according to our estimates. Our newest ratings and updates, . In Virginia, the performances of Democratic incumbents in the 2nd and 7th districts may offer early indications of how the party will fare in House races overall. Get live estimates for Senate and House control with our real-time election forecast, which analyzes the results so far to show who is on track to win. . . Wiley Nickel, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent North Carolinas 13th Congressional District. I cant recall anyone having numbers this high, said Colin Moore, director of the University of Hawaiis Public Policy Center. U.S. Senate In the U.S. Senate race, incumbent Brian Schatz won the Democratic primary with 94 percent of the vote. Log in now to continue reading this story. But Ms. Tokuda, who is backed by the Congressional Progressive Caucus, leads in polling. Mazie Hirono and Brian Schatz on their campaigns. Fishermen find remains of missing man inside shark, Man arrested after search warrant executed at Waikiki cannabis kiosk, SD Senate committee defeats petition signature requirement bill, Two bills aimed at protecting landowners from over-intrusion by carbon pipeline builders died today in a senate committee, SD Republican lawmakers want to expand school choice, 'The Other Side of Paradise' with Lynn Kawano, KHNLPUBLICFILE@HAWAIINEWSNOW.COM (808) 847-3246, KGMBPUBLICFILE@HAWAIINEWSNOW.COM (808) 847-3246, KFVEPUBLICFILE@HAWAIINEWSNOW.COM (808) 847-3246, KSIXPUBLICFILE@HAWAIINEWSNOW.COM (808) 847-3246, KOGGPUBLICFILE@HAWAIINEWSNOW.COM (808) 847-3246. Pollsters that did not release any horse-race polls within three weeks of an election since 1998 do not have a grade and are treated as a C+ by the grade filter. Representative Tom Malinowski, a second-term incumbent, conceded his race for re-election to his Republican opponent, Tom Kean Jr. We use early returns and polling data to estimate in real time the outcome of the elections for Senate and House control. Print subscriber but without online access? Hawaii Elections Forecast 2022: Ratings, Predictions & Key Races. For the open Senate seat in Ohio, J.D. Ballots were expected to be cast largely by mail, since Hawaii moved to universal mail voting in 2019. Nov. 8, 2022, Republicans are favored to win the open Senate races in North Carolina and Ohio, but if Democrats have a better-than-expected day, these are two places we might see evidence of it. J.D. Much of their sparring was over who would be a stronger advocate for such measures. Approvals still high for Josh Green in Hawaii governor's race. Nate Cohn Jen Kiggans, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent Virginias Second Congressional District. Democratic Rep. Andy Kim is facing a self-funding GOP opponent and getting some outside help in the closing week of the campaign. Herschel Walker, Republican, advances to a runoff election for the U.S. Senate seat in Georgia. Voters in Kentucky will decide whether to approve an amendment that would reject abortion rights in the State Constitution. Guam and the Virgin Islands two territories that elect nonvoting delegates to Washington have also traditionally held their primary elections on Saturdays. The Civil Beat/HNN poll was conducted from June 28 to 30 and 1,120 registered voters. But the state also offered in-person voting, with polls closing at 7 p.m. Saturday in Hawaii (1 a.m. Eastern time on Sunday) which is also the deadline for mail ballots to be returned. We're constantly speaking with campaigns to form our ratings. Reporting by Grace Ashford, Maggie Astor, Michael C. Bender, Sarah Borell, Sarah Cahalan, Emily Cochrane, Nick Corasaniti, Jill Cowan, Catie Edmondson, Reid J. Epstein, Nicholas Fandos, Lalena Fisher, Trip Gabriel, Katie Glueck, J. David Goodman, Blake Hounshell, Shawn Hubler, Annie Karni, Maya King, Stephanie Lai, Lisa Lerer, Jonathan Martin, Patricia Mazzei, Alyce McFadden, Jennifer Medina, Azi Paybarah, Mitch Smith, Tracey Tully, Jazmine Ulloa, Neil Vigdor and Jonathan Weisman; production by Andy Chen, Amanda Cordero, Alex Garces, Chris Kahley, Laura Kaltman, Andrew Rodriguez and Jessica White; editing by Wilson Andrews, Kenan Davis, William P. Davis, Kennedy Elliott, Amy Hughes, Ben Koski, Allison McCartney and Karen Workman. To learn more about how election results work, read this article. In Floridas closely watched governors race, Gov. Abortion rights were put to the test in the midterm elections. Nov. 9, 2022, John Fetterman, the Democratic candidate for Senate, won by a smaller margin than Josh Shapiro, the Democratic candidate for governor. Gov. Compared to Kemps reported votes, Walkers fell short in every county, but especially in the Atlanta area and its suburbs. The figure can change as NBC News gathers new information. Arizonas Senate race is a currently tossup, according to our estimates. Well also be watching competitive House races in N.C.-13 and Ohio-9. Of those, 782 were Democratic primary voters, giving the representative poll a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. Lauren Boebert, incumbent in Colorados 3rd district, is in an unexpectedly close race in what was considered a safe Republican district. 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. Green won the election with 63.2% of the vote with Aiona receiving 36.8% of the vote.[1][2]. Hawaii amended its law in 2010, moving Primary Day to August from September in order to comply with a federal law mandating that members of the military receive ballots at least 45 days before federal elections. Republican state Rep. Bob McDermott won his party's nomination for U.S. Senate,. Laura Kelly, Democrat, is re-elected as governor of Kansas. , Senator Mark Kelly of Arizona, a Democrat, won a tough re-election campaign, beating Blake Masters, a Trump-backed venture capitalist. Hawaii Governor - 2018: Ige (D) +29.0 | 2014: Ige (D) +12.4 Senate Polls | Governor Polls | Generic Congressional Ballot | State of the Union Polls | Latest Election Polls Maura Healey, the newly elected Democratic governor of Massachusetts is the first openly lesbian woman to be elected governor in the United States. Hes got a network, hes got fundraising and hes a pro when it comes to campaigning. Copyright 2023 StarAdvertiser.com. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Cayetanos favorability skyrocketed from 13% in January to 38% in July, while the first Hawaii Poll measurement of Kaheles favorability stood at 30% in July. The question was put to 320 likely Democratic primary voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 5.6 percentage points. However, if my rating for this Jill Tokuda, a former state senator backed by the political arm of the Congressional Progressive Caucus, won the Democratic primary in Hawaiis Second Congressional District, according to The Associated Press, after a sometimes vicious campaign that drew more than a million dollars in outside spending. Green also has commanding leads in terms of fundraising and political endorsements. Nov. 8, 2022, The Georgia Senate race, which could go to a Dec. 6 runoff, could determine which party controls the chamber. The Second Congressional District, which covers most of the state geographically, is electing a new member of Congress after Mr. Kahele decided to run for governor midway through his first term. Heres who won Tonight, our election forecast will show live estimates for which party is favored to win control in the Senate and House. Nov. 8, 2022, Nevada is the last big swing state of the day, and virtually everything is up for grabs: The races for Senate, three House seats, governor and secretary of state. While the three majority-Hispanic counties Hendry, Miami-Dade and Osceola shifted the most, Latino turnout tends to drop more in the midterms compared with other groups. Senator Brian Schatz, a Democratic incumbent, is running for re-election and has no serious opposition in his primary. View Hawaii's election results and maps for the 2022 midterm elections. The remaining vote there could tighten the race as it is counted. The race has drawn more than a million dollars in outside spending, mostly on behalf of Mr. Branco. Senator Brian Schatz of Hawaii is on the ballot in the Democratic primary, facing only a nominal challenger as he seeks re-election in the deep-blue state. votes. November 5, 2024. Republican Kari Lake is asking the Arizona Supreme Court to review her challenge of her loss to Democrat Katie Hobbs in the 2022 governor's race. Republicans have flipped four House seats in New York, two districts on Long Island and two in the Hudson Valley. Green raised $774,616 between July 1 and Mondays filing deadline. , Kathy Hochul, New Yorks first female governor, beat Rep. Lee Zeldin in the states closest race in decades. North Carolina Senate. . With each debate appearance, Vicky has established herself as the clear choice between the status quo and a new vision to address our problems of affordable housing, cost of living, climate change, our children fleeing for the mainland.. Only one, State Representative Bob McDermott of Oahu, has held elected office before. Larak Briscoe, a 45-year-old cook from Kapolei, who participated in the poll, said he has a clear preference in who he wants to be Hawaiis next governor, a sentiment shared by his sister and brother-in-law. Democrats overwhelmingly approve (83%), as do independents (68%), but Republicans (47%) are not as enthusiastic. Mr. Schatz has held the seat since 2012, when he was appointed after the death of Senator Daniel K. Inyoue, a towering figure in Hawaii who had served in the Senate since 1963. By 9 p.m., the polls will have closed in a majority of states. . In America, where most states administer elections on Tuesdays, Hawaii is an outlier but its unusual primary elections calendar is no accident. Nov. 8, 2022, Because of the order in which different types of ballots are counted, early returns can be misleading. As any entrepreneur knows, it takes a lot of time and energy to start a new venture, whether it is a business or a campaign. Democratic primary election Democratic primary for Governor of Hawaii The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for Governor of Hawaii on August 11, 2018. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Albert Sun Nov. 9, 2022, Democrats and Republicans each need to win three more competitive Senate seats to win control of the chamber (in addition to the races they are expected to win most easily). Were getting results for ballot measures related to abortion and reproductive rights in Kentucky, Michigan and Vermont. Colorados Third District is leaning toward Lauren Boebert, an ardent supporter of Donald Trump, according to our estimates. Asked for a comment about his numbers, Kahele told the Star- Advertiser in a terse email: (My) official comment is: Why dont you ask Andy Winer?. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter registration by county. 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