This dent could have been a write-off if Job Keeper was not introduced. Creating jobs, lower taxes, better health, education. Closely following is the People's Democratic Party candidate, Atiku Abubakar and thereafter, Peter Obi of the Labour Party. This is a list of electoral division results for the 2022 Australian federal election in the state of Queensland . from 2004 to 2008. I never said the LNP would win as I do think Labor are favourites. Hansons seat of Oxley was won in 1998 by ALP candidate Bernie Ripoll, and he held the seat until his retirement in 2016. The seat of Oxley was created as part of the expansion of the House of Representatives at the 1949 election. He has little brother syndrome . Oxley QLD: ALP: Page NSW: NAT . Those that had been made redundant were disillusioned. from 2000 to 2004. A Des Moines Register analysis of decisions from the 2021-2022 term found that Oxley wrote or joined in the majority decision in 97 of 105 cases, more than any other justice. Now you really have gone way, way, way too far !. That is to go with Jim Chalmers as treasurer. Then they can find one of those outstanding women they are always banging on about take the senate spot. She is doing a magnificent job and she too will be re-elected in a landslide. Most of the marginals here in QLD swung more than 6% so if we see swings like that again across SEQLD Dick is in trouble. There are a few factors bludgeoning this Labor vote in Blair (and similar QLD divisions) from all different directions. We acknowledge the traditional owners and custodians of country throughout Australia and acknowledge their continuing connection to land, waters and community. The composition of industry and employment is becoming more diverse including more independent trades people, as well as white-collar workers who commute into the city and now might also have the affordance to work-from home. Huge difference, at least those leaders actually inspired people. In mid 2017, the state electoral boundaries were redrawn to accommodate Queensland's growing and shifting population. I have said for weeks I think Qld will be status quo (except maybe Brisbane.) Candidates Danielle Mutton ( Greens) Michelle Jaques ( Liberal Democrats) Quinton Cunningham ( United Australia) Liz Suduk ( One Nation) Shayne Neumann ( Labor) Maria Pitman ( Australian Values) Angela Lowery ( Animal Justice) Sam Biggins ( Liberal National) Assessment Get breaking news alerts directly to your phone with our app. Booths in the City of Brisbane have been split into South-East and North. Lets catch up on LIberation Day!! Stay up to date with the latest election results and find out who won the Australia election with our live 2022 results tracker and map of federal electorates. Or does he plan on making him the speaker? The LNP are basically aiming to hold their own seats rather than win any Labor .Little effort going into contesting Blair,Lilley or Moreton by the LNP. Now federal senators are . Canberra ACT 2600, Electorate map History Inform the attendees why you chose to run. Booths in the City of Ipswich have been grouped as South-West. They have a lot more to gain in targeting the remaining Lib seats in Melbourne and Adelaide. Rachael Jacobs Candidate for Grayndler. Thanks you are a good mate. Strengthen Medicare by making it easier to see the doctor. Alot of rot on in this section of comments. History Blair was created at the 1998 election, one of a number of seats created in Queensland over the last few decades. Election results in Oxley at the 2019 federal election Labor have dominated this area on a state level, and Milton Dick in Oxley is a great member and is very visible across both electorates. Very confident of a landslide for the LNP. Neumann did end up weathering the storm but it put this seat on notice. Senator Scarr is acting as an Ipswich corridor MP. Booths have been divided into three areas. Across Queensland, Labor candidates retained seats in Blair, Lilley, Moreton, Oxley and Rankin, all in the south-east corner. If you have any questions please contact Leila Stewart at mail@gscc.com.au or +61 434035020. Gladys is the best NSW premier since Neville Wran. The electorate may have lost Ipswich over several redistributions between 1996 and 2007, but Ipswich was replaced by equally strong Labor voting territory around Inala.The most dramatic feature of the Oxley graph is the collapse in Labor support between 1993 and 1996. I guess if it was to try and keep seats like Flynn and Dickson in line (respectively examples for Nats and Libs) then maybe it will work but its not going to help them gain ground anywhere. District maps on this page are approximate. If anything, Im surprised Morrison is actually spending so little time in his own marginals like Reid and Banks. As an example, The Greens is stating it will recommend preferencing Labor ahead of the Coalition at the 2022 Federal Election. And then lost the next primary election, largely because voters didn't like that she made it easier for "children to disobey their parents". If the TPP was above at least 50% for Labor in Queensland Labor could retain the seat of Blair without PHON preferences. Industry. 2022 Federal Election Candidates Forum - Oxley Please dont . The seat has moved away from Labor in recent years (Like the overlapping state seats) and Fraser was actually the incumbent prime minister in 1975. Elected women to key state and local executive offices. Covers 159 square kilometres. LNP pouring resources here. Location: The Division of Oxley consists of: part of the Brisbane City Council, part of the Ipswich City Council, and part of the Logan City Council. Dont assume 2019 was a high watermark for the LNP. Worsteling is a retail worker and research assistant currently studying psychology at the University of Queensland. Disorder can be creative, & order can become uninteresting. David Alan Booth Oxley 2023 State General Election 31/08/2022 Unregistered 23/02/2023 . Population Growth. Authorised by Clive Palmer. (Par with 2004, or is this the worst since 1996?). In 1996, the seat became most well known for controversial social conservative MP Pauline Hanson who was elected as a Liberal-turned-independent, but the seat was heavily redistributed in 1997, splitting her main support base of Ipswich between Oxley and Blair. safe Liberal. Im not even a member of any political party but traditionally I want Labor to win just not under its current direction and leader. The 2022 Labor candidate is Rebecca Fanning,. Even then, Id be surprised to see the Libs not shift into gear (in Blair at least) as election day nears. I propose that the neighbouring Moreton would sooner fall to LNP. Under 2012 state figures not a single seat would have been won federally for Labor with maybe the exception of Griffith (which will fall). You are trying to close the tab or browser. The way St. Gladyss is going, Reid might be looking in trouble. Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor, the Liberal National Party and the Greens. The Courier Mail are reporting that Chris Green has been dropped as the LNP candidate and he has quit the parrty altogether. It extends along the Ipswich Motorway from Darra to Redbank. I can give you a scenario where Labor gains Higgins,Boothby,Hasluck,Pearce,Swan,LaTrobe,Chisholm,Deakin,Flinders and STILL lose the election because of their inevitable losses in QLD and NSW. Hes been perfectly willing to not just play defence and campaign in Labor held seats. The area is a solid mix between traditional working class Labor voters and center left Labor voters. 2022 United Australia Party. Most people around here in SEQLD seem to love Scott Morrison at least that is the feedback I have been getting on Facebook, the only people that dont seem to like him are young folks. His party sent out fliers to almost everyone here. Booth results map Activate. The seat was held by the Liberal Party until 2007, when the ALP won. There were rumors reported that former LNP QLD state leader and Mp for Nanango Deb Frecklington had interest in standing in Blair in May. But just not overwhelminly. actually it is worse. Defended the Democratic Senate majority. State/Territory MPs. After watching the Lib campaign, Ive arrived at the complete opposite conclusion. Let alone a HACK How dare you ? Ipswich itself has vaccination rates broadly in line with the state average (QLD has the lowest in Australia), however the fringes of Ipswich, along with the Gold Coast & Hinterland are much lower, suggesting a protest against the vaccine and more broadly Covid measures. The Greens candidate Elizabeth Watson-Brown is a well known architect and has appeal to the middle class voters of the electorate. 1- Member of the Speaker's Panel from 4.8.2021 to 11.4.2022. Do you want to save current progress? NSW 2023 where preferences have flowed over time, Podcast #86: Introduction to the NSW election, When local council parties break into state politics, NSW 2023 rising preference flows deciding the upper house. The bookies must seem to think the vote will blow back hard in Labors favor in this seat. First, mathematically they *need* to win seats because they already start out below 76 because of the redistribution. Ive set up a generic election open thread to go up in the morning. Labors Shayne Neumann is all voice and no action and is taking the constituents of Blair for granted. Secretary of the Australian Labor Party State Branch (Qld.) Learn how to enable Javascript in your browser. Ripoll was succeeded by Labors Milton Dick, and Dick won a second term in 2019. Candidates to watch: Labor MP Emma McBride and Liberal's Michael Feneley Where: This electorate covers suburbs and towns along the NSW Central Coast including The Entrance, Wyong, Tuggerah and. Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people are advised that this website may contain images and voices of deceased people. cheers WD, Ben The division is named after the Australian explorer, John Oxley. Candidates are listed using information from their registration forms and may be running in different districts than in the past. Officeholders. Teal candidates likely to take seats in NSW state election. Let's find an outstanding community Independent candidate for the NSW state electorate of Oxley. Each candidate will give a. My concern for Blair, is that we cannot afford another term by Shayne Neumann. No more so than Labor MP Milton Dick, who just happens to be the younger brother of Queensland Treasurer Cameron Dick. They will always take you down !. Then after this division inevitably gets redistributed with less of it encompassing the rural parts of South East Queensland, ALP regain. Christian Values Checklist Released for Federal Election 21 May 2022 Warwick Marsh 29 April 2022 3.6 MINS Editor's Note: A New Second Edition Christian Values Checklist has been released. 87.87% counted. Labor paying $1.03 to win on Sportsbet, Coalition $10.00. Labor supposedly has two fabulous senators, Murray Watt, & Anthony Chisolm. promised but never delivered and has been used as a political tool for every state and federal election The ALP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in two areas, polling 58.3% in the south-west and 67.3% in the south-east. Parliament House It is an increasing affluent division, has a smaller margin and is similar in profile to a division like Ryan. Demographic Rating: Scott held the seat for the remainder of the Hawke/Keating government, up to the 1996 election. Hawke failed to win a ballot in 1982. They were furious at Labor for what they perceived to be an abandonment of their blue-collar base for metropolitan progressives at a time their jobs became increasingly vulnerable. The seat covers the urban area of Ipswich and rural areas to the west, and towns such as Esk and Kilcoy. They would have to do very poorly in Queensland to be in trouble here. In Queensland in this election, there were two "turn-overs"the Australian Greens took two seats where the Greens candidate was not leading in the first count. Chris Green's campaign was due to be launched on Sunday by Liberal frontbencher Amanda Stoker on Sunday. Hayden held the seat until 1988, serving as Health Minister 1972-75, Treasurer 1975, Opposition Leader 1977-83 and Foreign Minister 1983-88. Does anybody know when the last time Labor had 5 seats or less in QLD? Dick has demonstrated why he is totally unsuitable for high office. A Trybooking page for the campaign launch initially said: "Join with our warrior Senator Amanda Stoker & Senator Paul Scarr to launch the campaign for Chris Green the LNP Candidate for Oxley. Organiser of the Australian Labor Party State Branch (Qld.) the coalition are winning 90+ seats they might come close to 100. Australians are voting for the next federal government. The Coalition could win this seat, Please do not write them off here, It could happen! from 2000 to 2004. Hayden later served as a minister in the Hawke Government before becoming Governor-General in 1989. If they would go & never return, then id be interested !. Election Platform 2022. Joint Standing: Electoral Matters served from 15.9.2016 to 11.4.2022; Joint Statutory: Broadcasting of Parliamentary Proceedings served as Chair from 26.7.2022 to present; Party positions. Peter Duttons appeal in Queensland is overrated. Joint statements by the Presiding Officers, Parliamentary Friendship Groups (non-country), House of Representatives chamber and business documents, Getting involved in Parliamentary Committees, Department of the House of Representatives. It is your call of course, but im concerned in a number of ways. @Daniel, Labor is probably going to have to give up in Queensland, especially since Dutton might prove popular in the rest of QLD outside of Brisbane. Two more points to consider to add the Observers points. For the WA seats, I doubt that Moore or Canning would fall since Labor would probably reduce their resources spent in WA and focus their efforts into sandbagging Sam Lim in Tangney and Dutton will certainly do whatever he can to save his factional allies Ian Goodenough and Andrew Hastie. LDP, UAP and PHON have candidates already. I have absolutely no idea what value he provides the ALP, while theres huge demand for leadership contenders in Queensland. Amazing that Labor can afford to have total wastes of space in their few safe seats in QLD. AEST = Australian Eastern Standard Time which is 10 hours ahead of GMT (Greenwich Mean Time). Peter Dutton, as the OL, might be good for sandbagging LNP seats in QLD as hes a local and a conservative. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. More often than not, whoever the party brass *thinks* is leadership material is just whoever they personally happen to like. Its almost as if 2019 was so devastatingly surprising that it has provoked an opposite reaction. Milton Dick is a nobody at best and a regressive millstone at worst. You have entered an incorrect email address! Oxley Party Candidate Votes % % National: Melinda Pavey: 25,115 51.74 0.93 Labor: Susan Jenvey 9,904 20.40 6.28 Greens: Arthur Bain 6,179 12.73 2.39 District maps are only available for elections in 20172018 and later. If we just look at this election cycle I agree. I would point to divisions like Chisholm or Bennelong as similar divisions in other states which are viable for the Coalition with an established Chinese Australian community. 1. What are your views on NSW despite not living here? That is surprising that the odds are that wide considering the narrow margin. Jane Anlezark Candidate for the Senate. Two-party-preferred vote in Brisbane Candidates Tiana Kennedy ( Animal Justice) Justin Knudson ( United Australia) Stephen Bates ( Greens) Madonna Jarrett ( Labor) Trevor Evans ( Liberal National) Trevor Hold ( One Nation) Anthony Bull ( Liberal Democrats) Assessment An official website of the United States government. Following the 2020 Census, some states may redraw their districts. Seat-by-seat guide to the 2022 federal election FEDERAL ELECTION 2022. Area 159 sq km Location description The Division of Oxley consists of: part of the Brisbane City Council, part of the Ipswich City Council, and part of the Logan City Council. Election funding Electoral law backgrounders Authorising electoral communication Learn about elections Delivering an election Managing the electoral roll Altering electoral divisions Determining ballot paper order Planning voting services Counting the votes Voting and the Government The three levels of government When elections are held People lie to the pollsters because they are afraid of telling the truth to the pollsters, and many people are getting sick of the pollsters being intrusive. These are the battleground seats Scott Morrison and Anthony Albanese are targeting. With the ballot papers already printed with the Liberal Partys name attached to Hanson, she gained a high profile and managed to win the seat with a large swing. @John, howd you figure that? Despite tax payor funding political parties and candidates (70M$ in 2022 election), major political . The LNP's candidate for the relatively safe Labor seat of Oxley . Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. (Click on polling place for results), Despite major changes in boundaries, Oxley has remained a relatively safe Labor seat compared to Labor's two-party preferred vote across Queensland. Oxley is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. That was due to Pauline Hanson, who was nominated as a Liberal candidate but disendorsed during the campaign. Speaker of the House of Representatives from 26.7.2022. Oxley is located in south east Queensland, and covers the south western suburbs of Brisbane. Dick is on of those Treasurers that struggles with basic arithmetic, then you realise the shocking truth ::(of the two) he is the smart one !. Voters rewarded the incumbent Fraser government in 1975, Indeed 1996 was the first time since 1949 an incumbent Labor government lost. That said we are already seeing a trend of independent left leaning candidates eating into LNP seats in wealthier suburbs. Blair Labor MP Shayne Neuman has been difficult to dislodge and avoided being thrown out in 2013. Labor hold. Washington, DC 20463. The division is named after the Australian explorer, John Oxley. Retiring MPs. Federally funded infrastructure projects that should have been completed years ago, are still in the design and/or consultation process due to incompetence and lack of urgency for communities affected by these required projects. But its now not looking on the cards despite the narrow margin. Find a paratrooper!. It includes all of the Inala housing estate and the nearby newer estates of Forest Lake and Springfield, as well as the Centenary Suburbs of Middle Park, Mount Ommaney, Jindalee and Sinnamon Park. Australian Election Archive A comprehensive archive of federal elections statistics since 1901, and state and territory statisticssince 1990. John Greens movement Toggle. My opinion is that Shayne Neumann will increase his vote, As the LNP candidate here, he is missing in action. Red China in those days did not have commissars posted to Queensland uni to ensure that the views of the Red RAt regime were the policy of the uni administration. The commentariat here are far too bullish on the Coalitions chances. Interested in exploring whether you might be our candidate. The pandemic and its effect on Blair might feed back into the overall disillusionment in job-security and prospects. After first being held by the Liberal Party for a decade, it has almost always been won by the ALP, except for the 1996 election, when it was won by disendorsed Liberal candidate Pauline Hanson, who later formed the One Nation party. One-in-five candidate tweets in 2022 have mentioned race, abortion, education or the economy. Oxley was won by Labor's Bernie Ripoll in 1998, succeeded by current MP Milton Dick in 2016. Across the country voting patterns confirm that people want their MP to represent the community rather than the big parties. Redirecting to /news/elections/federal/2022/guide/oxle Kristyn Glanville Candidate for Warringah. A lock ( LockA locked padlock ) or https:// means you've safely connected to the .gov website. 2022 Federal Election Candidates Forum - Oxley | Centenary Chamber Join us as we hear from all the local candidates in the running to be the Federal Member for Oxley at this year's election. It was 8 points wrong, So if we apply the same 8 point error to the current polls you get 61-39. Equally a long term govt is not necessarily a good govt. This shows concern about what is happening to that base. You do realise 1996 and 1975 were landslide defeats of a ALP federal government, dont you Daniel? . Re-elected 2019 and 2022. Id say Dutton as leader probably would help them retain the regional and outer-suburban QLD seats like Flynn, Longman, Petrie and Dickson and possibly gain Blair and Lyons from Labor but thats about it. Chetan Sahai Candidate for Sydney. AUSTRALIA: AGE DISTRIBUTION . This is a rural-urban hybrid seat, on the outer suburban fringes. In the 2022 cycle, EMILYs List-endorsed candidates had big wins at every level of government. Create secure local jobs by investing in Fee-Free TAFE and more university places, and make your job more secure with better pay and conditions. I also dont understand why Neumann was demoted to the backbench, Does Albanese dislike Queensland or the MP himself? Unfortunately for him, there are almost no marginal Labor seats available in QLD. A list of profiles for Candidates A-Z in the Federal Election 2022 Aside from that I havent found Asian Australians or Chinese Australians to be conservative, if any generalisation were to be made Id say most Chinese Australians veer towards the centre, willing to support either party with good economic and social policies. Elected to the House of Representatives for Oxley, Queensland, 2016. I did the calculations for Blair. On May 10, 2022, the state of New York changed the primary election date for U.S. House of Representatives candidates from 06/28/2022 to 08/23/2022. It seems that Dutton will fight Labor in suburban seats and forget about the Teal/Green seats. The Regional population 2020 2021 Financial Year report, released this week, highlights Ripley, in Blairs south, growing by 19.4% an estimated 1,889 additional residents in a pandemic year. Leave Winediamond out of it we have the same local polling booth and he thinks Zimmerman is a waste of space so thats good enough for me. Updated: 21 April 2022 The AEC publishes enrolment statistics on a regular basis to show the number of Australians enrolled nationally, and by state/territory and division. 8 . Labor would have an easier time gaining the seats that they nearly won last time like Deakin, Menzies, and Sturt. Oxley is located in south east Queensland, and covers the south western suburbs of Brisbane . If Labor want to turn their fortunes around, they may do well to parachute someone with leadership potential into this seat (someone much more compelling than Chalmers). Facebook for the Australian Greens; YouTube for the . This page contains a list of all candidates who ran in the 2022 congressional elections. or more precisely he id]s a massive sook, & cry-baby, & mamas boy !!. State govt only survived on the covid vote. After forming her own political party, Pauline Hanson's One Nation, Hanson contested and lost the newly created seat of Blair at the 1998 election. Senator for Queensland. Facebook; Twitter; Senator Matt Canavan. Make child care cheaper so that it's easier for working families to get ahead. Independent Oxley is a group of passionate locals who believe in community independent rather than party representation. Maybe moderate could join us inside the 5kms zone ? Federal LNP Senators. On February 19, 2018, Pennsylvania's Supreme Court released a new congressional map for Pennsylvania. Could Australia ban TikTok? Tony Adams Candidate for Bennelong. . Most of Blairs population lives in the urban area around the centre of Ipswich, and these have been divided into Central, North and East. He served in this role until he was appointed Governor-General in 1988, at which point he resigned from Parliament. For this I think Coalition would have been greatly rewarded at the ballot box if all of its shine had not been since rubbed off. Our Candidates. Community Development jobs now available in Oxley ACT 2903. @LNP Insider interesting that you flag Oxley as a location where LNP might have genuine intent in competing. Kathleen Irene (Oxley) Wiggins. Oxley was the only Queensland electorate retained by Labor at the 1975 election, but was lost to Pauline Hanson at the 1996 defeat of the Keating government. Hanson contested the new seat of Blair, which now covered Ipswich, which had previously been included in Oxley. Walt Secord MLC - announced 19 August 2022; Adam Searle MLC - lost preselection 15 September 2022; Shaoquett Moselmane MLC - did not nominate for endorsement; Guy Zangari MP - announced 17 October 2022; Paul Lynch MP - not preselected November 2022 1996,1977 and 1975 were all better for the coalition and worse for Labor. Even if they werent, they cant do what Howard did in 1998 because sandbagging alone is too much of a risk when youre just hovering at the majority line. Booths have been divided into five areas. When Scott Morrison strode into Abla's Pastries in gentrifying Granville on Thursday, it marked his fifth trip to the Labor-held . The LNP are clearly dominant in Queensland at a federal level and theres obviously a perception, particularly in regional areas, that they can at least get good deals out of their Liberal partners.
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